Syrian Casualties overview week ending 3 September

This report is the latest in our series on Syria. Today’s report is in two parts:

1)       NCF Casualty estimates and

2)       All other Casualty estimates. The second half of this latter report is so extensive that we have only included the summary here under the title “Casualties in more detail”. The full background by region of Syria can be accessed on the NCF Syria blog on the following link: FULL CASUALTY FIGURES

Casualties – The NCF casualty estimates

In an attempt to produce more a more accurate set of figures we have decided to focus on those published by the Violations Documenting Centre (VDC) as this source consistently publishes reports of identified casualties (including names of victims), with only a handful unidentified. We feel that this source gives the most reliable insight into the extent of the casualty damage at this stage of the conflict when compared to others that only identify a small minority.

Those killed in the past month

The NCF has prepared casualty estimates for the entire month of August. We revise our calculation method from time to time depending on data available. But with that caveat our totals for August are that 7,965 people were killed last month in the Syrian civil war breaking down as follows; 3980 civilians killed; 2949 rebel fighters killed; 1036 government dead (predominantly Syrian Army). Thus:

CASUALTIES FOR AUGUST	CIVILIANS	REBELS	GOVERNMENT
30 JULY – 05 AUG	491	379	297
06 AUG – 12 AUG	469	598	309
13 AUG – 19 AUG	766	373	269
20 AUG – 26 AUG	1279	309	272
27 AUG – 2 SEPT	975	290	159
TOTAL	3980	2949	1036

This is a very considerable increase on the dead for July. 4,641 people were killed during July 2012 in the Syrian civil war breaking down as follows: 2,789 civilians killed; 733 rebel fighters killed; 1,119 government dead (predominantly Syrian Army).

Those killed in the past week

The number of civilian casualties has dropped from the massive levels recorded the previous week.

CIVILIAN CASUALTIES

(VDC FIGURE has been used this week because LCC figures have become difficult to verify)

Date	Civilian casualties
Mon 27	164
Tues 28	121
Wed 29	126
Thu 30	132
Fri 31	110
Sat 1	186
Sun 2	136
TOTAL	975

REBEL CASUALTIES

(Rebel casualty figures seem unrealistically low and the NCF has chosen the highest available figures for each day and area)

Date	Rebel casualties
Mon 27	26
Tues 28	40
Wed 29	93
Thu 30	23
Fri 31	37
Sat 1	58
Sun 2	13
TOTAL	290

GOVERNMENT CASUALTIES

(Though massively under-reported the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights is the only organisation that has consistent figures for government casualties.)

Date	Government casualties
Mon 27	34
Tues 28	32
Wed 29	32
Thu 30	NA
Fri 31	29
Sat 1	32
Sun 2	NA
TOTAL	159

Weekly Casualty estimates

We are sad to report that the number of civilian dead remained high during the past week. The number of combatants killed has dropped considerably. In order to calculate figures for rebel dead we take the highest available figure per district per day:

Civilian dead:

975 dead this past week ending 3 September

1279 dead the week ending 27 August

766 dead the week ending 20 August

469 dead the week ending 13 August

491 dead the week ending 6 August

829 dead the week ending 30 July

848 dead the week ending 23 July

454 dead the week ending 16 July

462 dead the week ending 9 July

665 dead the week ending 2 July

373 dead the week ended 25 June 

350 dead the week ended 18 June 

105 dead the week ended 11 June 

Rebel dead:

290 dead this past week ending 3 September

309 dead the week ending 27 August

373 dead the week ending 20 August

598 dead the week ending 13 August

379 dead the week ending 6 August

199 dead the week ending 30 July

211 dead the week ending 23 July

170 dead the week ending 16 July

70 dead the week ending 9 July

107 dead the week ending 2 July

77 dead the week ended 25 June

41 dead the week ended 18 June 

40 dead the week ended 11 June 

Government dead:

159 dead the past week ending 3 September

272 dead the week ending 27 August

269 dead the week ending 20 August

309 dead the week ending 13 August

297 dead the week ending 6 August

228 dead the week ending 30 July

348 dead the week ending 23 July

237 dead the week ending 16 July

191 dead last week ending 9 July

256 dead the week ending 2 July

143 dead the week ended 25 June

53 dead the week ended 18 June 

92 dead the week ended 11 June 

Casualties in more detail

The numbers of reported casualties follows in a table in which the source is given and a day by day breakdown of totals. For more detail including a breakdown of these figures by region go to the NCF Syria blog on this link.

TOTAL CIVILIAN CASUALTIES

	SYRIAN OBSERVATORY FOR HUMAN RIGHTS	VIOLATIONS DOCUMENTING CENTRE	SYRIAN ARAB NEWS AGENCY	SYRIAN NETWORK FOR HUMAN RIGHTS	LOCAL COORDINATION COMMITTEES	SYRIAN SHUHADA
Mon 27	84	164	NA	254	230	272
Tues 28	123	121	NA	173	140	195
Wed 29	84	126	28	135	128	141
Thu 30	86	132	NA	181	166	213
Fri 31	88	110	NA	106	117	107
Sat 1	113	186	22	170	162	203
Sun 2	NA	136	NA	126	144	134

TOTAL REBEL CASUALTIES

	SYRIAN OBSERVATORY FOR HUMAN RIGHTS	VIOLATIONS DOCUMENTING CENTRE	SYRIAN ARAB NEWS AGENCY	SYRIAN NETWORK FOR HUMAN RIGHTS	LOCAL COORDINATION COMMITTEES	SYRIAN SHUHADA
Mon 27	24	13	4	NA	NA	15
Tues 28	13	7	27	NA	NA	6
Wed 29	23	25	59	NA	NA	25
Thu 30	16	12	NA	NA	NA	11
Fri 31	19	22	33	NA	NA	20
Sat 1	19	34	24	NA	NA	47
Sun 2	NA	12	NA	NA	NA	11

TOTAL GOVERNMENT CASUALTIES

	SYRIAN OBSERVATORY FOR HUMAN RIGHTS	VIOLATIONS DOCUMENTING CENTRE	SYRIAN ARAB NEWS AGENCY	SYRIAN NETWORK FOR HUMAN RIGHTS	LOCAL COORDINATION COMMITTEES	SYRIAN SHUHADA
Mon 27	34
Tues 28	32
Wed 29	32
Thu 30	NA
Fri 31	29
Sat 1	32
Sun 2	NA