- 15th August 2012 (evening)
This report
is the latest in our series on Syria. Today’s report is in two parts:
1) NCF Casualty estimates
and
2) All other Casualty
estimates. The second half of this latter report is so extensive that we have
only included the summary here under the title “Casualties in more detail”. The
full background by region of Syria can be accessed on the NCF Syria blog on the
following link: FULL SYRIA
CASUALTY FIGURES
Casualties – The NCF casualty
estimates
There are no
independent sources for casualty estimates (other than the occasional news
report). The casualty figures for “government dead” that the NCF uses in this
report are based on those from the Syrian Observatory which are the only figures
for government dead available. We hope you will use your discernment. The main
value of these figures is as an indication of a trend. We give you our casualty
estimates and then give you data from the other sources upon which they are
based so that you can arrive at your own conclusions. The full background data
upon which those other casualty estimates are based can be found on the NCF
Syria blog on the link listed above.
THOSE
KILLED IN THE PAST WEEK: The NCF estimates based on all available sources are as
follows. Note we are listing the highest figure we have ever recorded for rebel
dead, undoubtedly in part a consequence of the more ruthless tactics adopted in
Aleppo and elsewhere by the government in the past week. The sheer scale of the
onslaught on Aleppo has resulted in higher rebel casualties. Civilians in rebel
held areas have fled, leaving rebel forces particularly vulnerable.
The
remaining UN monitors in Aleppo were moved out of the city back to Damascus
because of worsening violence.
CIVILIAN
CASUALTIES
(Total
LCC figure is used except where to do so produces an unrealistically low figure
in the view of the NCF in which case the highest recorded figure is used, from
which total the NCF rebel casualty figure is subtracted to give a net figure)
Date
|
Civilian
casualties
|
Mon 06
|
59
|
Tues 07
|
101
|
Wed 08
|
113
|
Thu 09
|
51
|
Fri 10
|
103
|
Sat 11
|
13
|
Sun 12
|
29
|
TOTAL
|
469
|
REBEL
CASUALTIES
(Rebel
casualty figures are now being calculated on the highest reported figure for
each day and area except in instances where that figure produces an
unrealistically high figure in which case the lowest possible interpretation of
the Sana figures is used)
Date
|
Rebel
casualties
|
Mon 06
|
102
|
Tues 07
|
69
|
Wed 08
|
54
|
Thu 09
|
89
|
Fri 10
|
77
|
Sat 11
|
110
|
Sun 12
|
81
|
TOTAL
|
598
|
GOVERNMENT
CASUALTIES
(The
Syrian Observatory for Human Rights is the only organisation that has consistent
figures for government casualties and we therefore use their figures for
government dead)
Date
|
Government
casualties
|
Mon 06
|
62
|
Tues 07
|
32
|
Wed 08
|
41
|
Thu 09
|
31
|
Fri 10
|
52
|
Sat 11
|
43
|
Sun 12
|
48
|
TOTAL
|
309
|
Weekly
Casualty estimates – an overview
The
number of civilian casualties has remained high during the past week. The number
of government combatants killed has also remained high. The number for rebel
dead is by far the highest number we have ever recorded:
Civilian
dead:
469
dead this past week ending 13 August
491
dead the week ending 6 August
829
dead the week ending 30 July
848
dead the week ending 23 July
454
dead the week ending 16 July
462
dead the week ending 9 July
665
dead the week ending 2 July
373 dead the week ended 25 June
350 dead the week ended 18 June
105 dead the week ended 11 June
Rebel dead:
598
dead this past week ending 13 August
379
dead the week ending 6 August
199
dead the week ending 30 July
211
dead the week ending 23 July
170
dead the week ending 16 July
70
dead the week ending 9 July
107
dead the week ending 2 July
77
dead the week ended 25 June
41 dead the week ended 18 June
40 dead the week ended 11 June
Government
dead:
309
dead this past week ending 13 August
297
dead the week ending 6 August
228
dead the week ending 30 July
348
dead the week ending 23 July
237
dead the week ending 16 July
191
dead last week ending 9 July
256
dead the week ending 2 July
143
dead the week ended 25 June
53 dead the week ended 18 June
92 dead the week ended 11 June
Casualties in more detail
The
numbers of reported casualties per source follows in a table in which the source
is given and a day by day breakdown of totals. For more detail including a
breakdown of these figures by region (which must be examined in order to
understand the full basis on which NCF casualty estimates are calculated) go to
the NCF Syria
blog on this link.
TOTAL
CIVILIAN CASUALTIES
SYRIAN OBSERVATORY
FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
VIOLATIONS
DOCUMENTING CENTRE
|
SYRIAN ARAB NEWS
AGENCY
|
SYRIAN NETWORK FOR
HUMAN RIGHTS
|
LOCAL COORDINATION
COMMITTEES
|
SYRIAN
SHUHADA
| |
Mon
06
|
186
|
185
|
NA
|
224
|
161
|
212
|
Tues
07
|
65
|
131
|
NA
|
166
|
211
| |
Wed
08
|
75
|
148
|
NA
|
167
|
178
| |
Thu
09
|
52
|
125
|
NA
|
142
|
150
| |
Fri
10
|
114
|
116
|
11
|
154
|
180
|
|
Sat
11
|
96
|
110
|
7
|
101
|
||
Sun
12
|
75
|
90
|
NA
|
110
|
TOTAL REBEL CASUALTIES
SYRIAN
OBSERVATORY FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
VIOLATIONS DOCUMENTING CENTRE
|
SYRIAN
ARAB NEWS AGENCY
|
SYRIAN
NETWORK FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
LOCAL
COORDINATION COMMITTEES
|
SYRIAN
SHUHADA
| |
Mon
06
|
28
|
30
|
74
|
28
| ||
Tues
07
|
31
|
32
|
48
|
4
|
32
| |
Wed
08
|
16
|
17
|
46
|
17
| ||
Thu
09
|
24
|
27
|
67
|
26
| ||
Fri
10
|
24
|
22
|
63
|
|||
Sat
11
|
23
|
12
|
110
|
|||
Sun
12
|
31
|
13
|
22
|
45
|
TOTAL GOVERNMENT CASUALTIES
SYRIAN OBSERVATORY FOR HUMAN
RIGHTS
|
VIOLATIONS DOCUMENTING CENTRE
|
SYRIAN ARAB NEWS AGENCY
|
SYRIAN NETWORK FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
LOCAL COORDINATION COMMITTEES
|
SYRIAN SHUHADA
| |
Mon
06
|
62
|
|||||
Tues
07
|
32
|
|||||
Wed
08
|
41
|
|||||
Thu
09
|
31
|
|||||
Fri
10
|
52
|
|||||
Sat
11
|
43
|
1
|
||||
Sun
12
|
48
|
Most
organisations including the LCC figures do not distinguish between civilians and
rebel soldiers (lumping both groups together as “martyrs”).
No comments:
Post a Comment