- 25th July 2012 (early afternoon)
This report is the latest in our series on Syria. Today’s report is in three parts:
1) A special note from the NCF Team on the Syrian Refugees in Jordan
2) NCF Casualty estimates and
3) All other Casualty estimates. The second half of this latter report is so extensive that we have only included the summary here under the title “Casualties in more detail”. The full background by region of Syria can be accessed on the NCF Syria blog on the following link: FULL SYRIA CASUALTY FIGURES
Special note on Syrian refugees in Jordan
The NCF met HE Mr Mazen Kemal Homoud, Ambassador of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan to the UK, to discuss the refugee question. The Ambassador informed the NCF that only 30,000 of the 130,000 Syrian refugees in Jordan to date had been registered. Most are staying with Jordanian families rather than in the camps. “We are opening one large new camp, to add to the existing camp which caters for 30,000.” Jordan’s Prime Minister, Fayez Tarawneh, was up at the existing campsite on Monday. William Hague visited there with his Jordanian counterpart, Nasser Judah. Prince Faisal was there last weekend. Prince Rashid, the head of the NGO that helps the camps was there. The USA is giving $100 million to help the Syrian refugees in Jordan. The UK is giving £17 million. The Hashemite Kingdom takes the ongoing Syrian refugee crisis as its first priority. The new camp is far larger than the existing camp so that it can cater for the increasing flood of refugees.
Casualties – The NCF casualty estimates
Again, we have delayed the publication of this report to get all information available. And again, we acknowledge the inaccuracy of much of the data here. We are using all available sources but unfortunately the government no longer reports casualty figures, there are no independent sources (other than the occasional news report) and we therefore have to rely solely on opposition sources. We note that rebel casualties are therefore under-reported and government / civilian casualties probably over reported. We hope you will use your discernment. The main value of these figures is as an indication of a trend. We are going to give you our casualty estimates and then give you data from the other sources upon which they are based so that you can arrive at your own conclusions. The full background data upon which those other casualty estimates are based can be found on the NCF Syria blog on the link listed above. The data is too copious to include in this report.
1) A special note from the NCF Team on the Syrian Refugees in Jordan
2) NCF Casualty estimates and
3) All other Casualty estimates. The second half of this latter report is so extensive that we have only included the summary here under the title “Casualties in more detail”. The full background by region of Syria can be accessed on the NCF Syria blog on the following link: FULL SYRIA CASUALTY FIGURES
Special note on Syrian refugees in Jordan
The NCF met HE Mr Mazen Kemal Homoud, Ambassador of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan to the UK, to discuss the refugee question. The Ambassador informed the NCF that only 30,000 of the 130,000 Syrian refugees in Jordan to date had been registered. Most are staying with Jordanian families rather than in the camps. “We are opening one large new camp, to add to the existing camp which caters for 30,000.” Jordan’s Prime Minister, Fayez Tarawneh, was up at the existing campsite on Monday. William Hague visited there with his Jordanian counterpart, Nasser Judah. Prince Faisal was there last weekend. Prince Rashid, the head of the NGO that helps the camps was there. The USA is giving $100 million to help the Syrian refugees in Jordan. The UK is giving £17 million. The Hashemite Kingdom takes the ongoing Syrian refugee crisis as its first priority. The new camp is far larger than the existing camp so that it can cater for the increasing flood of refugees.
Casualties – The NCF casualty estimates
Again, we have delayed the publication of this report to get all information available. And again, we acknowledge the inaccuracy of much of the data here. We are using all available sources but unfortunately the government no longer reports casualty figures, there are no independent sources (other than the occasional news report) and we therefore have to rely solely on opposition sources. We note that rebel casualties are therefore under-reported and government / civilian casualties probably over reported. We hope you will use your discernment. The main value of these figures is as an indication of a trend. We are going to give you our casualty estimates and then give you data from the other sources upon which they are based so that you can arrive at your own conclusions. The full background data upon which those other casualty estimates are based can be found on the NCF Syria blog on the link listed above. The data is too copious to include in this report.
Those killed in the past week
he NCF estimates based on all available sources are as follows. NCF note – we are doing our very best to give you the most accurate estimate available. We ourselves recognise that these figures may vary widely from the actual truth. There are no reliable figures available, largely because of the chaos within Syria:
(For rebel casualties we take the highest available figure. Government casualty figures continue to be difficult to find and the Syrian Observatory have stopped doing a breakdown of the figures)
CIVILIAN CASUALTIES
(LCC figure – highest rebel casualty figure)
Date
|
Civilian casualties
|
Mon 16
|
69
|
Tue 17
|
62
|
Wed 18
|
157
|
Thu 19
|
154
|
Fri 20
|
191
|
Sat 21
|
117
|
Sun 22
|
98
|
TOTAL
|
848
|
REBEL CASUALTIES
(Rebel casualty figures seem unrealistically low and as such the NCF has chosen the highest available figures)
Date
|
Rebel casualties
|
Mon 16
|
28
|
Tue 17
|
20
|
Wed 18
|
31
|
Thu 19
|
63
|
Fri 20
|
24
|
Sat 21
|
23
|
Sun 22
|
22
|
TOTAL
|
211
|
GOVERNMENT CASUALTIES
(Though massively under-reported the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights is the only organisation that has consistent figures for government casualties.)
Date
|
Government casualties
|
Mon 16
|
41
|
Tue 17
|
29
|
Wed 18
|
65
|
Thu 19
|
98
|
Fri 20
|
38
|
Sat 21
|
43
|
Sun 22
|
34
|
TOTAL
|
348
|
Weekly Casualty estimates
The number of civilian casualties has doubled during the past week. Regardless of which, the number of combatants killed has increased massively:
Civilian dead:
848 dead this past week ending 23 July
454 dead last week ending 16 July
462 dead the week ending 9 July
665 dead the week ending 2 July
373 dead the week ended 25 June
350 dead the week ended 18 June
105 dead the week ended 11 June
Rebel dead:
211 dead this past week ending 23 July
170 dead last week ending 16 July
70 dead the week ending 9 July
107 dead the week ending 2 July
77 dead the week ended 25 June
41 dead the week ended 18 June
40 dead the week ended 11 June
Government dead:
348 dead this past week ending 23 July
237 dead this past week ending 16 July
191 dead last week ending 9 July
256 dead the week ending 2 July
143 dead the week ended 25 June
53 dead the week ended 18 June
92 dead the week ended 11 June
CASUALTIES IN MORE DETAIL
The numbers of reported casualties follows in a table in which the source is given and a day by day breakdown of totals. For more detail including a breakdown of these figures by region go to the NCF Syria blog on this link.
TOTAL CIVILIAN CASUALTIES
SYRIAN OBSERVATORY FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
VIOLATIONS DOCUMENTING CENTRE
|
SYRIAN ARAB NEWS AGENCY
|
SYRIAN NETWORK FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
LOCAL COORDINATION COMMITTEES
|
SYRIAN SHUHADA
| |
Mon 16
|
69
|
85
|
-
|
88
|
97
|
108
|
Tue 17
|
41
|
71
|
-
|
96
|
82
|
94
|
Wed 18
|
134
|
169
|
-
|
194
|
188
|
270
|
Thu 19
|
105
|
188
|
-
|
204
|
217
|
247
|
Fri 20
|
126
|
230
|
-
|
248
|
215
|
238
|
Sat 21
|
75
|
125
|
2
|
150
|
140
|
158
|
Sun 22
|
79
|
99
|
-
|
114
|
120
|
132
|
TOTAL REBEL CASUALTIES
SYRIAN OBSERVATORY FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
VIOLATIONS DOCUMENTING CENTRE
|
SYRIAN ARAB NEWS AGENCY
|
SYRIAN NETWORK FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
LOCAL COORDINATION COMMITTEES
|
SYRIAN SHUHADA
| |
Mon 16
|
28
|
23
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
6
|
Tue 17
|
20
|
16
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
7
|
Wed 18
|
31
|
16
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
3
|
Thu 19
|
63
|
21
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1
|
Fri 20
|
21
|
24
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
8
|
Sat 21
|
18
|
20
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
23
|
Sun 22
|
22
|
11
|
7
|
-
|
-
|
12
|
TOTAL GOVERNMENT CASUALTIES
SYRIAN OBSERVATORY FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
VIOLATIONS DOCUMENTING CENTRE
|
SYRIAN ARAB NEWS AGENCY
|
SYRIAN NETWORK FOR HUMAN RIGHTS
|
LOCAL COORDINATION COMMITTEES
|
SYRIAN SHUHADA
| |
Mon 16
|
41
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Tue 17
|
29
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Wed 18
|
65
|
-
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Thu 19
|
98
|
-
|
3
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Fri 20
|
38
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Sat 21
|
43
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Sun 22
|
34
|
3
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
SANA has stopped reporting the numbers of government forces killed (and in any case its website has been taken down – presumably by cyber attack).
The LCC figures do not distinguish between civilians and rebel soldiers (lumping both groups together as “martyrs”). As the LCC is a local organisation on the ground in Syria, we have made a decision that for the present we will use their figures for NCF estimates of civilian dead (but first deducting our totals for rebel fighters killed).
The LCC figures do not distinguish between civilians and rebel soldiers (lumping both groups together as “martyrs”). As the LCC is a local organisation on the ground in Syria, we have made a decision that for the present we will use their figures for NCF estimates of civilian dead (but first deducting our totals for rebel fighters killed).
CIVILIAN CASUALTIES
(LCC figure – highest rebel casualty figure)
Date
|
Civilian casualties
|
Mon 16
|
69
|
Tue 17
|
62
|
Wed 18
|
157
|
Thu 19
|
154
|
Fri 20
|
191
|
Sat 21
|
117
|
Sun 22
|
98
|
TOTAL
|
848
|
REBEL CASUALTIES
(Rebel casualty figures seem unrealistically low and as such the NCF has chosen the highest available figures)
Date
|
Rebel casualties
|
Mon 16
|
28
|
Tue 17
|
20
|
Wed 18
|
31
|
Thu 19
|
63
|
Fri 20
|
24
|
Sat 21
|
23
|
Sun 22
|
22
|
TOTAL
|
211
|
GOVERNMENT CASUALTIES
(Though massively under-reported the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights is the only organisation that has consistent figures for government casualties.)
Date
|
Government casualties
|
Mon 16
|
41
|
Tue 17
|
29
|
Wed 18
|
65
|
Thu 19
|
98
|
Fri 20
|
38
|
Sat 21
|
43
|
Sun 22
|
34
|
TOTAL
|
348
|
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